Probability vs. Frequency



The Political Poll Problem (307)

Here are the results of two opinion polls that compared the popularity of two political candidates.  Candidate A had appeared in 6 polls and won 5 of them.  Candidate B, on the other hand, had appeared in 18 polls and won 9 of them.  Now, for the first time, Candidates A and B will be tested against each other in the same poll.  Which candidate do you expect to win?