Simulation Heuristic:




Involves the construction of a mental model of a situation and then "running the model" to predict the course of events.

The Airport Drive Problem (305)

Mr. Crane and Mr. Tees were scheduled to leave the airport on different flights at the same time.  They traveled from town in the same limousine, were caught in a traffic jam, and arrived at the airport 30 minutes after the scheduled departure time of their flights.  Mr. Crane is told that his flight left on time.  Mr. Tees is told that his flight was delayed and just left five minutes ago.  Who is more upset, Mr. Crane or Mr. Tees?